China Infant Formula Sector Today: Genesis
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01 Early Optimism When I first started analyzing Chinese trade policy, food regulations and China dairy sector market data back in 2013, I, like many others, could be forgiven for getting a little caught up in the hype. Billions of dollars up for grabs, a 300 million strong middle class with deep pockets and a penchant for imported products, extremely low breastfeeding rates, baby booms and a huge distrust of domestic product quality and safety. As bad as this was for China it seemed like a golden opportunity for international dairy whose only competition was a domestic Chinese dairy sector still reeling from the impact of scandal and further hampered by a lack of technical capacity, animal husbandry and breeding, pasture management, processing technology etc. For international dairy facing global pricing pressures, it looked like a panacea to all that was ailing them. Let the good times roll....or... maybe not...fast forward 5 years and we see hundreds of SMEs forced...